The period from the end of the first global stocktake (GST) at COP28 (2023) through to COP30 (2025) is critical. During this time period we will learn the collective level of ambition of new climate targets, whether countries have taken into account the outcomes of COP28 in formulating them, and whether countries have put in place the domestic plans, legislation, finance and investment needed to implement those new targets. In the context of the Paris Agreement’s ambition cycle, 2024-2025 are crucial years for preparation, action, and enhanced international cooperation.
The GST decision from COP28 sets out a number of key, transformational global targets and signals to Parties to: (i) inform their next nationally determined contributions (NDCs); and (ii) enhance implementation and international cooperation.Parties are expected to communicate their NDCs by February 10, 2025, with an end date of 2035. The GST signals form part of guidance and requirements that have been set out from Paris to date, including that:
In order to implement the GST targets and signals through enhanced NDC ambition and implementation, major barriers must be meaningfully addressed, turned into opportunities for enhanced international cooperation, and translated into development priorities and domestic policies. In the context of making the case for clear leadership to enable such action, this paper focuses on the GST decision’s calls to Parties to:
Together, these signals recognize that biodiversity and ecosystem services have limited capacity to adapt to increasing global warming levels and the importance of effective EBA and NBS to the climate system.xv As such, this paper particularly focuses on reducing climate impacts on ecosystems and biodiversity by accelerating the use of EBA and NBS.