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Key Negotiations & Related Outcomes of the UN Climate Conference in Belém

Brazil President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva declared the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) 30th Conference of Parties (COP30) the “COP of truth,” aiming to restore public confidence in climate policy.1 A note regarding usage: Use of “UNFCCC” broadly covers the Convention, the Kyoto Protocol, and the Paris Agreement. Reference to, e.g., “the Convention” indicates that the reference, Parties, or activi-ties pertain exclusively to that convention and not the Paris Agreement. Reaching consensus outcome at COP30 was destined to be difficult, as the UNFCCC seeks to transition from decades of treaty negotiations toward a far greater focus on implementation. This task was made even harder given the wider context in which COP30 took place: extremely difficult and uncertain geopolitical conditions; the rise of populism in many countries, with climate action exploited as a divisive rather than unifying issue; increasingly severe and frequent global climate impacts; and a retreat from globalization and international cooperation, including reduced funding for international development and the United Nations. Many Parties’ expectations for the climate conference included a robust response, through a consensus outcome, to the gap on collective ambition and implementation of nationally determined contributions (NDCs), which were due in February 2025. Expectations also included a call for all countries who have not yet done so to come forward with new and more ambitious NDCs. Parties expected COP30 to deliver on its mandates, such as adopting the indicators for the global goal on adaptation (GGA), as well as taking decisions on just transition and the global stocktake (GST). They further anticipated that the outcome should send a strong signal on finance as well as acknowledge and celebrate all that has been achieved to date under the Paris Agreement, given its ten-year anniversary. Despite high temperatures, flooding from heavy thunderstorms, a violent protest, and even a fire in the conference venue, Parties in Belém, Brazil, concluded the COP by adopting a “Belém Political Package.”2“Belém Political Package,” UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, accessed January 5, 2026, https://unfccc.int/cop30/belem-political-package. This outcome was notable given the challenging geopolitical conditions, including the absence of the United States delegation for the first time since the UNFCCC was adopted in 1992. The final day of COP30 ended after nearly 24 hours of continuous closed-door negotiations when Parties reached hard-fought compromises to adopt the decision on the “Global Mutirão: Uniting humanity in a global mobilization against climate change.” Mutirão is “a traditional knowledge inherited by the Brazilian society and born from cooperation.”3André Aranha Correa do Lago, “Eleventh Letter from the Presidency,” COP30, November 17, 2025, https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/20251117_Letter_COP30_President.pdf.  The decision was the key consensus political outcome from COP30 and the headline decision for the Belém Political Package. The most contentious issues in reaching agreement on the Global Mutirão decision related to the COP30 response to the ambition of Parties’ NDCs, as well as issues of trade and finance. Key elements of the Belém Political Package comprise: The “Global Mutirão” decision, which includes emphasis on the important role of multilateralism and synergies with other regimes in the context of sustainable development celebration of the Paris Agreement’s achievements on the occasion of its 10-year anniversary an expression of “hope that the Agreement will once again enjoy near universality” acknowledgement that “the Paris Agreement is working” and a resolution “to go further and faster” recognition of the need to accelerate implementation of domestic mitigation measures encouragement for Parties to align their NDCs with net zero by or around mid-century an invitation for Parties to develop implementation and investment plans for their NDCs a “Global Implementation Accelerator” to accelerate implementation across all actors to keep 1.5 degrees C within reach and to support countries in implementing their NDCs and national adaptation plans (NAPs) recognition of the efforts of the Climate High-Level Champions in providing continuity through their work—such as the launch of the Global Climate Action Agenda five-year plan that thematically aligns with the targets and signals from the first global stocktake the launch of the “Belém Mission to 1.5” to enable implementation in NDCs and NAPs and to reflect on accelerating the implementation, international cooperation, and investments in NDC and NAP plans a call for efforts to triple adaptation finance by 2035 to support vulnerable countries a two-year work program to discuss climate finance, including the predictability of public resources from developed countries a three-year dialogue to consider challenges and barriers in relation to enhancing international cooperation related to the role of trade agreement to develop a just transition mechanism under the Just Transition Work Programme a decision on the global stocktake that launches the United Arab Emirates (UAE) Dialogue on implementing the outcomes of the global stocktake and sets out responsibilities for refining the second global stocktake the extension of a dialogue on Article 2.1(c)—the dialogue calls for making finance flows consistent with a pathway toward low greenhouse gas emissions and climate-resilient development and its complementarity with Article 9 a nine-year Belém Technology Implementation Programme a global goal on adaptation package that included: adopted indicators; modalities for the Baku Adaptation Roadmap; and a call to launch a two-year Belém-Addis vision on adaptation to operationalize the indicators a decision on the mitigation work program that sends key messages from its global dialogues and investment focused events on forests and the waste sector, including circular economy approaches a nine-year Belém Gender Action Plan conclusion of the third review of the Warsaw International Mechanism for Loss and Damage. Other key outcomes from COP30 include: the end of the first full cycle under the Enhanced Transparency Framework through the Facilitative, Multilateral Consideration of Progress (FMCP), which reviews Parties’ climate progress reports publication of the Global Climate Action Agenda at COP30 Outcomes Report and Yearbook of Global Climate Action 2025, reflecting the work of the Global Climate Action Agenda publication of the final “Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T” report on the process that aims to scale up public and private finance to U.S. $1.3 trillion for developing countries more than 80 countries joined the Mutirão Call for a Fossil Fuel Roadmap to advance the commitment to transition away from fossil fuels set out in the COP28 global stocktake decision launch of the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF), which will compensate countries for preserving tropical forests. In addition to the formal outcome, COP30 President André Corrêa do Lago announced in the final plenary that he would support work on two roadmaps under the Presidency’s responsibility: one on halting and reversing deforestation and a second on transitioning away from fossil fuels in a just, orderly, and equitable manner. 4Felipe de Carvalho, “Belém COP30 delivers climate finance boost and a pledge to plan fossil fuel transition,” UN News, November 22, 2025, https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/11/1166433. He also welcomed Colombia’s April 2026 summit on fossil fuel phase-out, noting that the future COP30 Presidency roadmaps could build on its outcomes. It was decided that COP31 will take place in Türkiye. In an unprecedented arrangement, Türkiye will be “COP31 President” and Australia the “President of Negotiations.”5“Türkiye-Australia Partnership Modalities,” UNFCCC, accessed December 8, 2025, https:// unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/20251121_COP31_Presidency_Modalities-CLEAN-AGREED. pdf. Therefore, while physically hosted in the city of Antalya, Türkiye, Australia will lead the negotiations; at the same time, Türkiye will lead and manage the action agenda. The Pacific Islands are expected to host the Pre-COP, the preparatory event for COP31.

C2ES Innovation Policy Matrix

This paper introduces the Center for Climate and Energy Solutions’ (C2ES) Innovation Policy Matrix, a user-friendly, nonpartisan, and technology-neutral tool designed to help policymakers assess and craft effective innovation policy. The framework synthesizes four interrelated components that, when applied together, enable policymakers to efficiently develop a comprehensive understanding of the policy needs for any given technology and the broader innovation ecosystem. The tool creates a standardized snapshot of where any given technology sits along the innovation process, the barriers hindering the broader ecosystem, and the key risks to prioritize when developing policy solutions. Risk is an intrinsic part of innovation, so the public and private sectors should play complementary roles as risk takers and risk managers. In particular, the federal government can play an important role as a risk-tolerant supporter of innovation, especially when technological feasibility and market applications are still unclear. This matrix was informed by the insights generated from over two years of the C2ES technology working groups program, which includes more than 140 companies across the innovation ecosystem.

Developments in Border Carbon Adjustments in the 119th Congress and Abroad

There has been a surge in interest in the relationship between international trade and climate policy since the implementation of the European Union’s (EU) Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM). The EU CBAM has occupied the center of discourse in climate and trade policy, driving expanded interest in developing national carbon pricing policies. As more countries […]

Border Carbon Adjustments

Border carbon adjustments (BCAs) are a policy instrument intended to preserve the economic competitiveness of select heavy-emitting industries as countries accelerate their decarbonization efforts. The term border carbon adjustment is used to refer to the general form of this policy type; however, specific examples referenced in this document utilize a range of naming conventions. By […]

Building Corporate Climate Resilience

Physical climate impacts are fundamentally reshaping the risk landscape for global businesses. Through six dialogues conducted in 2025, the Climate Resilience Foresight Series brought together leaders from two dozen companies to explore how organizations can build comprehensive resilience to climate change. This synthesis presents a strategic framework for corporate climate resilience, drawing on insights from participants across manufacturing, energy, technology, financial services, and other critical sectors. The dialogues revealed that while awareness of climate risks has grown substantially, translating this awareness into sustained action remains challenging. Companies face genuine barriers including competing priorities, data limitations, and governance structures not designed for long-term, systemic threats. Yet leading organizations are developing innovative approaches that frame resilience as a source of competitive advantage rather than merely a cost center. As climate impacts accelerate, the companies that systematically build adaptive capacity will be best positioned to protect value, seize opportunities, and contribute to broader societal resilience.

Powering Possibility

This factsheet explores clean hydrogen, a critical commodity in major industrial and chemical processes, from petroleum refining to fertilizer production.

Fueling the Future

This factsheet explores sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), a non-petroleum jet fuel certified for use in commercial and military aircraft.

More Than Carbon

This factsheet explores engineered carbon removal (ECR), a form of carbon dioxide removal (CDR) that uses human-made technologies to capture carbon dioxide from ambient air or oceans.

Reliability in Reserve

This factsheet explores long-duration energy storage (LDES), a storage technology that can supply energy—typically as electricity, and in some cases as heat—continuously for at least ten consecutive hours at full power.

Considerations for the Progress Assessment of NAPs at COP30

Parties are expected to decide on the progress assessment for the formulation and implementation of national adaptation plans (NAPs) at UN Framework Convention on Climate Change’s (UNFCCC) 30th Conference of Parties (COP30). The NAP process helps developing countries identify and address long-term climate adaptation needs. Progress on the formulation and implementation of NAPs has been […]