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Climate Change & International Security: The Arctic as a Bellwether

Executive Summary In its most recent assessment of global climate change, the U.S. National Academy of Sciences concluded, “A strong body of scientific evidence shows that climate change is occurring, is caused largely by human activities, and poses significant risks for a broad range of human and natural systems.” Impacts and rates of change are greatest in the […]

Extreme Weather and Climate Change: Understanding the Link and Managing the Risk

Thousands of record-breaking weather events worldwide bolster long-term trends of increasing heat waves, heavy precipitation, droughts and wildfires. A combination of observed trends, theoretical understanding of the climate system, and numerical modeling demonstrates that global warming is increasing the risk of these types of events today. Debates about whether single events are “caused” by climate […]

Degrees of Risk: Defining a Risk Management Framework for Climate Security

There is a growing consensus in the security community that climate change presents significant risks to the delivery of national, regional and global security goals. Through sea level rise, shortages of food and water and severe weather events, climate change will have significant impacts on all countries, which in turn could affect their social stability […]

Climate Change Risks in the Context of Scientific Uncertainty

This article appeared in The Global Politics of Energy, 2008.